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College Ball California Style – Cal at (17) UCLA

January 29, 2009

The California Golden Bears (16-4 SU, 11-6 ATS, 8-9 O/U) bounced back nicely to snap a modest two-game losing streak in the BetOnline Sportsbook by beating Oregon 76-69 at Haas Pavilion Saturday, covering the spread as a 14-point road underdog while the final score played under the 147-point total.

"I think it was kind of regrouping for us after two consecutive losses, seeing where we are," Cal guard Patrick Christopher said. "The team a year ago might have pointed fingers and turned on each other. It was good for us to come together like a family and talk things out."

The UCLA Bruins (15-4 SU, 8-10 ATS, 10-8 O/U) have lost two of its last three, including a dismal 86-75 loss to Washington on Saturday where they failed to cover the spread as 2-point road underdogs while the final score played OVER the day’s posted total of 141.

"Coach is trying to figure out how much (rest) can he give me without losing games," said point guard Darren Collison who is averaging 14.4 points per game this season. "I don’t want to back down and just give it all away. It’s up to us to push through it mentally."

Senior forward Josh Shipp led all scorers on the day with 25 points in a losing effort for the Bruins while junior point guard Jerome Randle scored a team-high 22 points to lead four players in double figure scoring.

Here is a look at tonight’s key PAC 10 Game online betting trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NCAAB Free Pick:

The total has gone OVER in 5 of California’s last 5 games when playing on the road against UCLA

California is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of California’s last 5 games when playing UCLA

The total has gone OVER in 18 of California’s last 25 games on the road

The total has gone OVER in 5 of UCLA’s last 5 games when playing at home against California

UCLA is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

UCLA is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing California

UCLA is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

NCAAB Odds

California +9½ -110

UCLA -9½ -110

Over 139½ -110

Under 139½ -110

Analysis: While I fully expect the UCLA Bruins to win this contest, there is no way they win this matchup by the 10 points it will take for them to cover the spread.

The fact of the matter is that the Bruins have taken a big step backwards from the powerful teas they’ve fielded the last four seasons, and understandably so with the departure of several gifted players to the NBA.

Take the California Golden Bears to cover the spread with room to spare!

NCAAB Free Picks: California +9½ Points/Over 139½ Total Points

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