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Brewers Look to Keep Streak Alive with Gallardo on Mound

June 29, 2010

The Milwaukee Brewers are favored in the baseball betting sportsbook to keep their home winning streak alive against the Houston Astros on Tuesday night.

The Brew Crew hasn’t lost a series to the Houston Astros at their home park in almost 2 years.

Milwaukee will be counting on their ace, Yovani Gallardo, to keep that streak alive.

With Gallardo on the mound, Milwaukee’s appears tough to beat in tonight’s game.

Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Betting Odds

Houston Astros – Brett Myers – R +1 ½ -105 +200

Milwaukee Brewers – Yovani Gallardo – R -1 ½ -115 -240

  • Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
  • When: June 29th, 2010 at 8:10 pm EST
  • TV: Houston – FS-H HD
    Milwaukee – FSN-HD
  • Radio: Houston – KTRH 740, KLAT 1010
    Milwaukee – WTMJ 620

The baseball wagering trends favor the Brewers big time in this game.

  • The Milwaukee Brewers are 6 and 1 in Yovani Gallardo’s last 7 starts at home versus a team with a losing record.
  • The Milwaukee Brewers are 4 and 1 in Yovani Gallardo’s last 5 starts as the favorite.
  • The Milwaukee Brewers are 28 and 6 in their last 34 games as a favorite of -201 or greater.
  • The Houston Astros are 1 and 4 in their last 5 games as an underdog on the road of +201 or greater.
  • The Houston Astros are 5 and 11 in their last 16 games overall.

Gallardo’s numbers are very impressive. He’s 7 and 3 on the season with a 2.36 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. If those weren’t impressive enough, he’s 7 and 1 with a 1.78 ERA since losing his first 2 starts of the season.

Myers’ numbers pale in comparison. Myers is 5 and 5 on the season with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Now, Myers faces one of he top batting teams in the National League.

The Brewers score 4.88 runs per game. They average .262 from behind the plate as a team. They’ve hit 92 home runs and they’ve scored 12 runs total in their last 3 games.

It appears that Myers is up against it in his game against the Brewers tonight because while he has to pitch against one of the best offensive teams in the National League, Gallardo gets to pitch against one of the worst offensive teams in the National league.

Yes, the Astros put up 9 runs against Milwaukee in the last game between these two teams, but that isn’t the norm for the ‘Stros. They usually average only 3.49 runs per game and bat only .238 as a team. The Brew Crew has hit only 45 home runs per game.

With Gallardo on the mound, Houston should return to their lackluster offensive ways. Gallardo and Milwaukee should control this game from the outset. There’s no reason to put up all of that dough on the Brewers to win this game on the moneyline.

I’m going to bet on Milwaukee on the run line. The Brewers’ bats should be on fire tonight, like they often are, while Gallardo, no doubt, will be able to keep Houston from scoring more than 2 runs.

MLB Sportsbook Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1 ½ -115

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