Brees and Peyton Betting Props: Analyze player stats to make the right bet for Super Bowl 44

We all know that Super Bowl 44 will be a pass first game as both teams have weapons that will line up to the right and left of their offensive line, but with the weather being un-Miami like so far this week the passing game might get a little slippery.

It’s been raining on and off the past week in Miami and showers and thunder storms are scheduled until Saturday. This will make open air Land Shark stadium grass soggy at best, but with the late kickoff there may be enough time for the Miami sun to dry off the grass.

I still would bet easily that there will be over 600 yards combined passing and here are a few other things I would bet on for Super Bowl 44:

Drew Brees Total Passing Yards

Over 290½ Passing Yards -115
Under 290½ Passing Yards -115

Bress put more than 290 yards in 10 games of the regular season but he didn’t hit that mark in any of this year’s playoffs games.

Expect a shootout and expect Brees and the Saints to hit some big plays against the Colts.

My pick: Over

Peyton Manning Total Passing Yards

Over 308½ Passing Yards -120
Under 308½ Passing Yards -110

Manning put more than 308 yards in 8 games in this season, including 377 against the Jets – the best defense in the NFL -at the AFC Championship game.

Also keep in mind Brett Favre also put 310 passing yards against the Saints in the NFC Championship game, barely the 4 time a QB surpassed the 308 yards this season against New Orleans.

My NFL pick: Over.

Drew Brees Total Pass Attempts

Over 36½ Pass Attempts -120
Under 36½ Pass Attempts -110

Bress threw more than 36 pass in only 5 games.

The Saints will start throwing the ball to set the run. The Saints will run a mix of plays on Super Bowl Sunday to make sure they keep the quick Indy defense in check.

My pick: Under

Peyton Manning Total Pass Attempts

Over 37½ Pass Attempts -115
Under 37½ Pass Attempts -115

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Manning average 36.3 attempts per game, obviously the percentage dropped considerably when he didn’t play full games against the Jets and against the Bills in the last two regular season games.

Manning did go over 37 pass attempts in 9 games this season including the two playoffs against the Ravens and the Jets.

My pick: Over.

Drew Brees Total Completions

Over 24½ Completions -115
Under 24½ Completions -115

Super Bowl 44 betting fans keep in mind that Drew Brees is the most accurate QB in the league, he doesn’t make bad throws and usually in-complete passes are due to receiver drops.

He threw more than 24 completions 7 times in the regular season but hasn’t in the playoffs.

My pick: Under

Peyton Manning Total Completions

Over 25½ Completions -120
Under 25½ Completions -110

In 9 games including the two from the playoffs Manning put more than 25 completions. I would expect a Saints defense that blitzes a lot but also leaving enough holes for Manning to complete passes.

My pick: Over.

Drew Brees Total TD Passes

Over 1½ TD Passes -210
Under 1½ TD Passes +165

This is the most ridiculous super bowl betting prop of all. If you want to cash in, bet on this one right now.

Brew threw more than one TD in 12 of the 17 games he played this season, including six against Detroit, three against Philadelphia, four against the Giants and five against New England; not to mention the three he threw on the playoffs against the Cardinals and the Vikings on each game.

My pick: Over

Peyton Manning Total TD Passes

Over 2½ Yards -125
Under 2½ Yards -105

Peyton just threw 1 TD pass in the Super Bowl against the Bears in the 2006 season but that defense was heads and shoulders better than the Saints this year.

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