Boise State Should Be Your NCAA Football Prop Pick vs Gators

BetOnline Sportsbook has a bevy of options available for you to sink your teeth into for preseason college football betting action.

Today, we look at who will finish higher in the final USA Today Poll for our NCAA football props analysis: Florida or Boise State?

When analyzing these two teams, there are two very important factors to consider. The first is the schedule each possesses. Florida’s going to have some very losable games, including duels at Florida State, Tennessee, and Alabama that could pose a real threat.

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NCAA Football Odds

Florida Gators -165

Boise State Broncos +125

Boise State really only should have two challenges the entire year in the form of a neutral site game against Virginia Tech (that will play like a road game next week at FedEx Field) and a roadie at Nevada.

Unlike Boise State though, the Gators are going to have to break in an entirely new team since 11 starters departed to take their skills to the NFL. The Broncos only lost one to the pros, that being Kyle Wilson who now straps it up for Rex Ryan’s New York Jets; twenty of the other 21 starters return.

Florida is also going to get a taste of what it’s like breaking in a bit of a new offense. Charlie Strong, the team’s previous offense coordinator is now the head coach at Louisville. With Tim Tebow moving on, John Brantley is going to need to install a bit more of a drop back and throw the ball type of look than one with gimmicky runs and options.

The other thing to consider is the fact that the Broncos aren’t going to have a WAC Championship to worry about. They are -4000 to capture the division title already and don’t have a title game to play in.

Even though the Gators are likely to lose at least one SEC game at some point, they will still be good enough to play in the SEC Championship Game where they will probably run into the Alabama Crimson Tide for a second time on the year.

Meanwhile, the Broncos are going to be playing for style points. It’s hard to imagine Florida beating teams in the SEC by as much as Boise since it will embarrass many of its WAC foes.

Even if Boise State does trip once and Florida trips twice, we’re basically in a 50/50 proposition going into the bowl games. We absolutely have to take our chances at this point with the Broncos, knowing that they have commanded and earned the respect of the pollsters. If they finish with fewer losses than the Gators, odds have it, they will get the nod in the final USA Today poll.

Boise State should be your NCAA football prop selection when pitted against the Gators.