Bet on NFL – Chiefs Can Clinch Tie for Division

Those people who bet on NFL action know that the Kansas City Chiefs have made a tremendous leap this season, and they can clinch a tie for the division title on Sunday if they can beat the Tennessee Titans in action that kicks off at 1 PM ET at Arrowhead Stadium (natural turf) in Kansas City.

In the lines we wil luse as we bet on NFL this weekend, the Chiefs are a 4.5-point favorite, with the total on the game posted at 42.5 points.

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Bet on NFL

Tennessee Titans (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS) at Kansas City Chiefs (9-5 SU, 8-6 ATS)

Live at Arrowhead Stadium

Kansas City, MO

Sunday, December 26 — 1 PM ET

TV: CBS

Bet on NFL Odds:

Kansas City -4.5

Tennessee +4.5

Total 42.5

Here are some of the trends as they impact how we bet on NFL games:

• Tennessee has covered two of its last seven games
• Tennessee has lost six of its last seven games SU
• Tennessee has played six of its last nine road games UNDER the total
• Kansas City has won four of its last five games SU
• Kansas City has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
• Kansas City has lost 17 of its last 25 home games SU
• Kansas City has won its last six home games SU
• Kansas City has played four of its last six home games UNDER the total

If the Chiefs win this game, the worst they can do on the season is finish with a record of 10-6, and they’ll clinch a tie for the division title. As people who bet on NFL action know, however, that doesn’t necessarily guarantee them anything, though, and if they want to assure themselves of a playoff spot, as we look at it at this date, they can beat Tennessee and Oakland in the final two games.

Tennessee has an opportunity to win its final two games and get to the .500 mark, which would, I suppose, be a happy ending to what might be Jeff Fisher’s final season. The Vince Young situation is very much in the background, and everyone knows he is the owner’s pet; his appearance in the locker room and the sideline in last week’s game was something that certainly aggravates Fisher, who had issued a de facto suspension against Young.

Here are the head-to-head football betting trends that have a bearing on the bet on NFL decision:

• Four of the last five meetings have gone OVER the total
• Tennessee has covered four of the last six meetings
• Tennessee has covered four of the last five meetings as the road team

Kansas City has benefited greatly from the NFL’s scheduling policies. The Chiefs are situated in an unusually weak division (the AFC West) and they have had to play very few teams with winning records. In fact, in their list of "victims," only Jacksonville and San Diego are over the .500 mark. But that is not to say they haven’t done some fundamental things very well.

If you go back to the October 10 game against Indianapolis, Chiefs’ QB Matt Cassel has thrown 20 TD passes with just two interceptions. We would admit that part of the reason he is able to do that, and while Kansas City has been a decent bet on NFL (8-6 ATS) is that they can always keep a defense honest with the running game. The 6.4 ypc average of Jamaal Charles in the backfield should qualify him as a candidate for MVP, at the very least. he has outdone his counterpart, Chris Johnson (1267 yards, 4.6 ypc). Kansas City has won all six of its games at Arrowhead Stadium, though not all in resounding fashion. With the playoff push, the general reliability of Cassel, and the fact that Fisher has not figured out a way to make any use of Randy Moss (just five catches as a Titan), most signs point to the team that has everything to play for, so we’re laying the points with KC as we bet on NFL games for Sunday.

JAY’S PLAY: KANSAS CITY -4.5 ****
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

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