Bet NFL Week 9 – Detroit Lions To Upset New York Jets

Everyone who bets NFL betting odds on a weekly basis has had a mountain of difficulty properly grading the Detroit Lions because of Matthew Stafford’s injury. Now that he’s back, we’re going to get a good look at how the Lions stack up against one of the better teams in the NFL. It’s just as easy to question how good the Lions are as an upstart bet for the remainder of the season as it is to wonder if the New York Jets are really a Super Bowl contender.

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In his first game back from injury, Stafford powered the Lions to a huge victory over the listless Washington Redskins. He threw 26-of-45 completions for 212 yards and 4 touchdowns with just one interception. Nobody enjoyed his return more than Calvin Johnson who had 9 catches for 101 yards and 3 receiving touchdowns.

Posting those kinds of numbers will be difficult no matter what I think of the New York Jets offensively. They have the second-best defense in the league, allowing just 15.7 points per game and have a star studded lineup in the secondary. If Detroit has any hopes, Stafford has to be smart with his throws and rely on Jahvid Best to expose their linebackers for those that bet NFL underdogs.

Still, this game has as much to do about defense as it does about offense. I am not sold on Mark Sanchez as a legitimate game breaker. Can he manage an offense, protect a lead and rely on his stout rushing attack? Absolutely. But those of you that bet NFL lines with the Jets will inevitably have to see how this team plays from behind.

New York Jets (5-2) vs. Detroit Lions (2-5)

Sunday, November 7th — Ford Field — 1:00pm EST

NFL Betting Line: NYJ -4.0 (41.5)

To put is simply, Sanchez doesn’t respond well to chasing teams on the scoreboard. I’m not saying that Detroit can explode all over the Jets, but they can certainly do some damage. The entire roster is motivated by Stafford’s return, and are out to prove they aren’t the doormat they’ve been in previous seasons.

Sanchez may be the spotlight guy for the Jets, but everything about their offense revolves around a running game that primarily rushes up the middle for solid gains. If you bet NFL lines in Week 9, then you have to wonder if they can rely on a rushing game slamming head first in to the likes of Kyle Vanden Bosch and Ndamukong Suh.

Detroit will do everything in its power to force Sanchez to throw the ball, and while they won’t be able to stop New York definitively, this game has a “five interceptions by an overwhelmed quarterback” stink to it. I like taking the spread as much as anyone, but this is a game where I’m leaning heavily towards an NFL bet on the home dog.

I’ve said in the past and it’s worth repeating: the Jets are front runners. Everything they do on a winning streak is great. But they hit the panic button way too fast and fall in to bad losing streaks at the wrong time. It happened last year. It’s about to happen this year.

This season has been about the underdogs, and while Detroit has lost more times than it hasn’t, they are still a league-best 6-1 ATS this season. Either way you cut it, Detroit walks out of this game with the victory over the line or straight up as they leave the Jets scrambling. If you can’t stomach to bet NFL home dogs as much as I can, then take the points.

NFL Betting Pick – Detroit +4.0 (OVER)

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