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Basketball Betting – Kings vs Knicks

November 18, 2010

The basketball betting public is aware that there are going to be two slumping teams squaring off on Wednesday night at the ARCO Arena in Sacramento. The New York Knicks have lost six games in a row, while the Sacramento Kings have dropped five consecutive games and six straight against the number. They will meet up at 10 PM ET at a venue where the Kings have won once in five tries. In the basketball betting odds for this game, Sacramento is a four-point favorite, with the total on the game posted at 209.5 points.

Basketball Betting

New York Knicks (3-8 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) at Sacramento Kings (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS)Live at ARCO Arena

Sacramento, CA
Wednesday, November 17 — 10 PM ET

Basketball Betting Odds:  Sacramento -4, New York +4, Total 209.5

Here are some of the basketball betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

  • New York has lost its last six games SU
  • New York has covered one of its last six games
  • New York has played five of its last seven games UNDER the total
  • New York has lost four of its last five road games SU
  • Sacramento has played nine of its last 13 games OVER the total
  • Sacramento has lost its last five games SUSacramento is 0-6 ATS in its last six games
  • Sacramento has played its last four games UNDER the total
  • Sacramento has lost six of its last seven home games SU
  • Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last five home games

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Over these last six games the Knicks have allowed an average of about 112 points a game, and so the question among basketball bettors is whether we expect that they would allow any less than this coming into Sacramento with no rest. When you see a team that plays the kind of style Mike D’Antoni likes to play, you will generally see the team slacking off on the defensive end in the second of back-to-backs, rather than the offensive end. That means more jump shots for the Kings. But that may mean less penetration as well, since D’Antoni’s defense is designed to collapse and close off passing and penetration lanes.

Here are the head-to-head basketball betting trends for this game:

  • Sacramento has won five of the last six meetings SU
  • Ten of the last 14 meetings have gone OVER the total
  • Five of the last seven meetings in Sacramento have gone OVER the total
  • Sacramento has won eleven of the last 13 meetings SU as the home team

Sacramento has averaged a little less than 91 points over their last four contests. Will they shoot well here? Well, they have been kind of lukewarm over the last several games, but wily basketball bettors know that has a chance to change against a Knick team that has allowed opponents to shoot 47% and score 106.5 points a game. On the road, New York has been even more permissive (108.2 ppg). Since the Kings have permitted opponents to shoot almost 49%, it might also allow D’Antoni’s jump shooters to do what they need to. Amare Stoudamire has also had 10-for-19 fro the field in consecutive games. Note that in games the Kings have won this season, they have averaged nearly 112 ppg. If they indeed have the Knicks caught in the dreaded "win & travel" situation, this could mean more offense than usually expected, so we’re going with an OVER in this game where the basketball betting odds have the number posted at 209.5 points.

JAY’S PLAY:  OVER 209.5 **

(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

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