ATP Lyon First Round Picks: Tsonga begins campaign

October 27, 2009 by admin
Filed under: Tennis Betting 

Lyon , France – Top seed Jo Wilfried Tsonga begins his Lyon bid against American Kevin Kim. The Frenchman Tsonga has never won the title in Lyon but has had success on French soil, winning titles in Marseille (2009) and Paris (2008). Tsonga is gunning for his fourth title on the season and a spot at the Tour-ending championships. He is a massive favourite in Lyon to take all honours.

It will be his first-ever meeting against world No. 87 Kim. The lack of a head-to-head between these two bears no significance on the market on this billing. Tsonga is at another level, a level that is but a wishful fancy for a player such as Kim. Kim, 31, has never reached such heights over his career and frankly, he will never reach them.

For all intended purposes, this match is rather straightforward.

Tennis Betting Line:

Jo Wilfried Tsonga-6 -125 -3000 18½ O -140 U Ev
Kevin Kim +6 -115 +1000 18½ O -140 U Ev

Match Time: 2:30 PM Eastern Time Tuesday October 27, 2009

Tennis Betting Analysis: Tennis bettors looking to back Tsonga will find him an untouchable favourite at -3000 to win outright. There is very little value in his odds, promising pennies on your risk.

Kevin Kim is a whopping underdog at +1000 and while his price promises a windfall, he, as a player, doesn’t. There is little to suggest in Kim’s game that he is capable of the massive upset. Best not touch his odds.

The real value in this match is on the spread and totals. Deciding whether Kim will be blown off court or whether he will try to hang in with Tsonga and lose respectably. I am leaning towards the former given Tsonga’s current form and home edge, but there is evidence to suggest Kim might not be a total pushover as you might think or as the tennis betting odds would suggest.

Kim did give Querrey a good challenge at the US Open, stretching Querrey to four sets 5-7, 7-6(6), 4-6, 4-6 but that could be down to the fact they were both Americans playing on American soil. Kim also stayed close to Soderling during their first round Roland Garros encounter, 6-7(4), 6-7(4), 2-6.

Tennis Betting Verdict: Kim will try to make a match of it even though he doesn’t have any real hope here. Tsonga should win this match relatively well. Therefore, the better play is to take Kim to cover the spread and to bet on the Over.

Tennis Free Picks: Tsonga -3000 | Kim +6 -115| Over 18 ½ -140

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