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American League’s Best – Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

May 20, 2009

Two teams ranked in the MLB Power Rankings, the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox, continue their battle for the lead in the A.L. East Division when they clash in the second of a three game series on Wednesday night. Toronto lost the first game of the series, 2 to 1, on Wednesday night and now will look to make amends when they send pitcher Brett Cecil to the mound. Cecil has been fantastic so far this season with a 2 and 0 record, a 1.80 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP.

The BoSox counter with pitcher Brad Penny. Penny has a decent 3 and 1 record, but the two key stats regarding his pitching this year are atrocious. His ERA is a terrible 6.69 and his WHIP is an awful 1.68.

Here is the BetOnline MLB betting line for this game.

Toronto Blue Jays
Brett Cecil – L +1 ½ -170 +115 O 10 -105 O/U 4 ½ -125/-105

Boston Red Sox
Brad Penny – R -1 ½ +150 -135 U 10 -115 O/U 4 ½ -130/Ev

Here are a few online wagering trends for this game.

The Boston Red Sox are 8 and 2 in their last 10 games versus a left handed starter.

The Under is 7 and 3 in the last ten meetings between these two teams in Boston.

The Toronto Blue Jays are 4 and 1 in their last 5 games overall.

The Under is 4 and 1 in the Toronto Blue Jays last 5 games on the road.

The real key in this game is Brad Penny. If bettors believe that Penny will be able to shut the Blue Jays down, then the obvious wager is under the BetOnline Total at -115.

However, if gamblers believe that the Blue Jays will score runs versus Penny, then the obvious wager is the Blue Jays at +115 to win this game straight up.

I believe that Brett Cecil is going to pitch very well against the Red Sox in this game and should do enough to keep his stats right around where they should be. So, the key to almost all of the wagers in the sportsbook will be Penny.

How do I think Penny will do? I see him getting lit up by a Toronto team that more often than not has put runs on the board this season. To me, Penny doesn’t have much of a shot in this game.

For that reason, I’ll be betting the Toronto Blue Jays to win straight up at +115.

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