A history of betting the Super Bowl Total Score

While the spread in Super Bowl XLIV has been moving around, the TOTAL has stayed stagnant. At 56.5 points, the oddsmakers and the betting public have been betting that the Super Bowl odds favor a shootout between the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints. History, on the other hand, tells us that 56.5 points is a lot to expect from the Super Bowl.

In the past ten years, the average TOTAL of the Super Bowl has been 45.0 points. The largest Super Bowl TOTAL in history was when the Niners beat the Chargers in Super Bowl XXIX by a score of 49-26, totaling 75 points in the game. Far and away, however, even with the evolution of the game since then, the Super Bowl hasn’t been the scoring affair the oddsmakers are expecting it to be this weekend.

The last time the Super Bowl eclipsed 56.5 points was in 2004 during the Patriots-Panthers game which ended with a TOTAL of 61.0 points. Before that the defensive eruption of the Bucs over the Raiders earned a betting TOTAL of 69.0 points. Since those two games, and over the last five, the Super Bowl bets favoring the OVER have been disappointed. The average TOTAL in the last five Super Bowls is just 40.6.

Chasing the OVER is always way more fun than praying for an UNDER, but for this Super Bowl bet, the money could very well be there. Nobody wants to be caught smashing their pint glass because there’s an onslaught of scoring in the NFL finale, but the Super Bowl odds in this one may simply be too high. Do you have the guts to go against the grain and take the UNDER? If history has told us anything, it’s the proper Super Bowl bet this weekend.

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