#3 Auburn Giving Up 7 Points to Ole Miss in the Football Sports Betting Book

#3 Auburn, who is also #1 in the BCS Rankings, is a big football sports betting favorite to continue their undefeated march in 2010 this Saturday versus SEC rival Ole Miss.

The Tigers are -7 point road favorites to punish Ole Miss this Saturday. The odds actually make sense since Mississippi hasn’t been nearly as formidable of a team this season as many thought they would be going into it.

Auburn, though, hasn’t been as spectacular as some might think. Can they cover the spread against an Ole Miss team that will be trying to knock them off of their high-horse?

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#3 Auburn Tigers at Mississippi Rebels

Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi

When: Oct. 30th at 6:00 pm EST

TV: ESPN2

NCAAF Betting Lines

Auburn Tigers -7 -110 O 60 ½ -110

Mississippi Rebels +7 -110 U 60 ½ -110

The football sports betting trends favor neither team in this game.

• The Auburn Tigers are 4 and 1 ATS in their last 5 games as the favorite.
• The Auburn Tigers are 5 and 2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Mississippi.
• The Ole Miss Rebels are 9 and 2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
• The Ole Miss Rebels are 11 and 4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss.

I’m not ready to hand the game over to Auburn much less a 7-point cover versus the football sports betting spread on Oct. 30th.

To me, this game is setting up as a potential Ole Miss upset over the #1 ranked team in the BCS. The reasoning is pretty simple. Auburn has been able to face the 3 best teams on their schedule at home. They beat South Carolina 35 to 27, Arkansas 65 to 43 and LSU 24 to 17.

Those are three tough teams that Auburn beat but in their only 2 away games so far this season, the Tigers haven’t responded as well. Auburn barely beat Mississippi State 17 to 14 as 1-point favorites and Kentucky 37 to 34 as 5 ½ point favorites. Now, they take on a team that, stylistically, should be able to score with them. Why, then, the big point spread?

Football sports betting handicappers have to wonder why the Tigers are -7 point favorites versus an Ole Miss team that averages 31 points and 410 yards per game, but then it becomes apparent that the Tigers are a scoring machine behind QB Cam Newton and that the point spread actually makes a lot of sense.

Or…does it? The great press flowing Auburn’s way gives them way more credit than they deserve. The Tigers are a fantastic rushing team, racking up 303 yards per game, but not a great passing team, racking up only 183 yards per game. Look at Newton’s stats and it’s…odd. Newton has thrown for 200 yards or more only twice in the Tigers’ last 5 games. Granted, the running was going well, but unless the Tigers can pass, it’s doubtful that they will score enough points to creep away from the Ole Miss Rebels in this game.

Ole Miss’ D matches up well with the Tigers’ rushing attack. It gives up only 125 yards per game on the ground as opposed to close to 250 yards through the air. Auburn’s D is almost silly bad for an undefeated team. It allows 250 passing yards through the air meaning that Ole Miss QB Jeremiah Masoli could very well have a big day on Saturday.

The stats support the notion that Auburn is suspect versus the football sports betting spread this Saturday. The fact that they also play Ole Miss on the road means that Auburn might be suspect to the huge upset on the money line as well.

In any case, I can’t give a team like the Ole Miss Rebels, who will be playing their hearts out to end Auburn’s undefeated season, 7 points when the team giving up the 7 points has absolutely no pass defense and is on the road.

I’m backing the Rebels to cover versus the football sports betting spread.

NCAAF Betting Pick: Mississippi Rebels +7 -110

Check out NCAAF Week 9 football sport betting lines, click here!