#24 Baylor Football Game Odds Dog vs. Goofy Texas this Saturday

The #24 Baylor Bears are +7 point NCAA football game odds dogs versus the goofy Texas Longhorns this Saturday.

Why is Texas goofy? Because although they have the ability to play tough versus a team like Oklahoma and actually upset a team like Nebraska, they can flat out fail versus a team like Iowa State. Not only did Texas not cover a -21 point spread versus Iowa State last Saturday, but they lost straight up 21 to 28.

Now, the goofball Texas Longhorns are just trying to make their way back to respectability for the second time this season when they take on the Bears on Saturday.

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#24 Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns

Where: Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas
When: Oct. 30th at 7:00 pm EST
TV: TBD

NCAAF Betting Lines

Baylor Bears +7 -110 O 53 ½ -110
Texas Longhorns -7 -110 U 53 ½ -110

The trends say that the Bears will cover the football game odds in this contest.

• The Baylor Bears are 4 and 0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.
• The Baylor Bears are 5 and 2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
• The Texas Longhorns are 1 and 6 ATS in their last 7 games as the favorite.
• The Texas Longhorns are 2 and 8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Pigskin handicappers could make a living taking the football game odds on the Longhorns not to cover each and every week. Texas hasn’t been a great covering team ATS for the past 2 years. They just don’t cover a lot of spreads. I don’t know why that is; it just is.

Baylor is the ranked team in this situation. That makes it even more perplexing why football handicappers would even consider laying 7 points on the Texas Longhorns in this game. Texas is 2 and 5 ATS overall this season. They’re 0 and 3 ATS at home.

2 of Texas’ 3 losses occurred at the hands of perhaps two of the worst teams in any of the major conferences, the UCLA Bruins from the Pac 10 and the Iowa State Cyclones. It just doesn’t make sense. That’s why Texas is a goofy team.

But will the Bears have enough in order to keep this game within the point spread? The goofballs from Austin did upset the Nebraska Cornhuskers on the road a couple of weeks ago and have played against the much tougher opponents in 2010. Baylor hasn’t come close to playing a team of the caliber of either Oklahoma or Nebraska.

In fact, I’m wondering why the Bears are even ranked. Save for beating Kansas 55 to 7 as 9-point favorites, Baylor hasn’t been all that impressive. They failed 38 to 45 versus Texas Tech as 2-point road faves and then could only beat Colorado by 6 points, 31 to 25.

In their last game, as 6 ½ point favorites, the Bears failed to cover the spread in a 47 to 42 victory over K-State.

The football game odds should probably be Texas -8 ½ given that fact.

Yes, Texas is a terrible team against the spread, and, yes, usually I wouldn’t even considering laying points where Texas is concerned, and the Longhorns looked horrible versus Iowa State last week, but they still have the 6th ranked defense in college football. Balyor’s D is ridiculously bad, although their offense is ranked 5th in the nation, and Texas should be able to exploit the Bears’ D while containing the Bears’ offense.

I have to take the home team coming off of a bad loss to bounce back versus an overrated dog that has built their reputation against suspect competition. I have to go with Texas to cover the football game odds spread in this contest.

NCAAF Betting Pick: Texas Longhorns -7 -110

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