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NFL Odds Online – Vikings Face Saints in NFC Championship Rematch Tonight

September 9, 2010

The NFL Odds online are set and all that’s left now is to kick that pig skin off and play some mother truckin football! Don’t know if you could pick a better season opener as these teams played an absolute gem of a football game in the NFC Divisional Championship game last year. With both teams looking just as good, if not better, this has all the makings of an instant classic. The NFL Odds for the Vikings and Saints are set, with New Orleans favoured by 5 points and the total is set at 38 ½.   

Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints (Superdome – New Orleans, LA)
Thursday September 9th at 8:30 PM ET – TV: NBC

NFL Odds Online:

Vikings – PS +5 (-110) ML +200
Saints – PS -5 (-110) ML -240
Total – 48 ½  

Adrian Peterson is ready for this season; he’s even calling people out. In a recent radio interview with Dan Patrick, he informed everyone just who he thought was the best running back in the league. He said he respected the record setting Chris Johnson’s performance last year, but that doesn’t make him better. When asked if Johnson was better in any area, AP responded that “No, not faster, stronger, anything”.

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It’s not like Peterson is trashing Johnson, but he truly feels that he’s the best back in the world:

"That’s just the mentality that I have," he said. "I have ultimate respect for the guy and he’s a heck of a player." He then related a telephone conversation between the two early in Johnson’s career. "Some advice that I gave him was, ‘I play this game to be the best player ever to play the game. That’s my mentality.’”

Nothing like a little trash talk to get the season kicked off. There are all kinds of story lines heading into this one, and with two teams that are so talented on both sides of the ball, everyone has an opinion as to who is going to take this one against the NFL Odds. The line started with the Saints favoured by over a touchdown, but that has moved back down as there was a lot of early action on the Vikings.

Those Vikings have some injury concerns heading into the season, especially at wide receiver. Hip surgery for leading receiver Sidney Rice forces him to miss at least the first six weeks, and then there is Percy Harvin, who missed most of exhibition because of migraine headaches. He should play, but he won’t be at full speed.

With Favre not at %100, and the receiving corps all banged up, the Vikings are going to rely heavily on Adrian Peterson. That’s a big test for “the best running back in the league” who will get an immediate chance to back up that trash talk.

No offense to AP, but I don’t know if it’s going to be enough. The Saints only got better this offseason, and they are healthy heading into the Week 1 showdown. With the Superdome guaranteed to be an absolute mad-house, my NFL Odds selection is on the Saints.

NFL Odds Online Pick: New Orleans Saints (-5) -110

Cardinals vs Braves – Massive Playoff Implications

September 9, 2010

It’s a light night in the MLB on Thursday, I guess everyone wanted to watch the Vikings/Saints opener. If football’s not your dish, there’s a great matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Atlanta Braves that has playoff implications for both squads. The Cardinals send one of their aces to the hill in Adam Wainwright while the Braves counter with a good young pitcher in Jair Jurrjens.

MLB Betting Line:

Spread: St. Louis -1 ½ (+145), Atlanta +1 ½ (-165)
Moneyline: 
St. Louis (-115), Atlanta (-105)
Over/Under: 6 ½
Date: Thursday, September 9 – 7:10 PM ET
TV: PTV, FS-M

Probable Pitchers:
STL Adam Wainwright, RHP (17-10, 2.34 ERA), ATL Jair Jurrjens, RHP (7-4, 4.10 ERA)

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Both the Braves and Cardinals are fighting for the National League’s Wild Card playoff spot, so I don’t have to tell you that this is a big game for both clubs. The Braves look like the more likely team to make it into the second season heading into tonight’s matchup as they are just a half game back of the Phillies for the NL East division lead and hold a two-game edge in the Wild Card race.

The Cardinals need to get something going ASAP if they want to make a run for the extra playoff berth, and they’ll get that chance tonight in the series opener against the team they are trying to catch. And with Adam Wainwright on the mound, you would usually think this game was a lock for the Cards, but their Ace hasn’t been himself of late.

Wainwright has lost four consecutive contests, which is the first time in his career that has happened. He’s really picking a bad time to do so as they count on him for a win every five days. A date with the Braves may be just what the doctor ordered as he is 5-0 versus Atlanta, who just happens to be the team that drafted him.

Atlanta will counter with Jair Jurrjens who is coming off a very impressive start against the Florida Marlins. He went seven scoreless innings, giving up just three hits and three walks while striking out seven to earn the road victory. They’re going to need a big start from him as the Braves have to face Chris Carpenter tomorrow night, so they’re going to need to get after one of these two guys, and their better bet appears to be Wainwright at the moment.
Jurrjens missed five weeks with a strained left hamstring at the start of the season and it showed in his next three of four starts, but since then, he been a machine. He’s only lost once in his last 10 starts, and has a very solid 3.47 ERA since the All-Star break.

Despite Wainwright claiming he won’t lose again this year, I think that Jurrjens gets the better of him tonight. The Cardinals righty is only 6-8 on the road this year, so take the Braves at -105 tonight.

MLB Free Pick – Braves

US Open Quarterfinal Betting Preview – Nadal vs. Verdasco

September 9, 2010

Flushing Meadows, New York – Rafael Nadal has put on a clinic at the 2010 US Open and reaches a third straight quarterfinal, but this year, more so than any other in recent memory, he may well be the ultimate legitimate contender. None of his accounts at this event have been as outstanding (awesome is another word that comes to mind) as this year’s account. He reaches the final eight dropping neither a set nor a game and he’s cranked up his serve to previously unregistered heights on the radar gun. (And he’s supposed to be at his most vulnerable, weakest on hard courts?)

Fernando Verdasco moves into the quarterfinals on the back of some outstanding accounts, particularly his R16 clash against David Ferrer in which he stormed back from two sets down to win in stunning fashion. Verdasco proved to be a ferocious competitor in that match and very deserving of the win.

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That said beating Nadal is going to take something even more special by the Spaniard and frankly, few believe he is up for the task. Of course, tennis bettors in the know will recall that wondrous Australian Open semi-final that they played against one another last year. Pundits, fans and neutrals alike are licking at the chops for a repeat of that epic.

Verdasco really played some of the best tennis of his career then, but, even though he did so, he still lost. If you’ve already played your best against the best in the game and came up short what are your chances, really?

Tennis Betting Line:

Rafael Nadal  -7  +110   -1600   33½  O -140   U +100   
Fernando Verdasco  +7  -150   +700   33½  O -140   U +100  

Match Time: 08:05 PM Eastern Time (5:05 Pacific Time) Thursday September 9, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: Certainly, Verdasco is a tempting package deal at +700 to win outright combined with any number of the set betting markets available on him to mastermind the upset. And he really earned his place in the final eight and seeing how fired up he was when he beat David Ferrer he really does appear to be the tempting bet all round – lucrative as well, I might add.
But based on the head-to-head series between Nadal and Verdasco you have to believe entertaining an upset in this match is a pipedream. Nadal has a stranglehold on their head-to-head, leading the series 10-0. There’s nothing open to debate here and Nadal at -1600 would appear to be the correct play as such.

Yet, there is a nervous trepidation in the market as Verdasco is seen as the player with arguably the best shot against Nadal. Of course, this notion has no foundation in hard evidence. It is based on intangibles.

The backbone of this notion is the form these two have shown in the lead up to their clash that has many believing this matchup will assume new layers, break new levels and smash all-time tennis betting heights.

It may be so, and if it does go the distance as many hope it will, certainly it could be one for the history books. Time and time again, Nadal has proven his metal, his worth in the market. And for that, he gets my vote. No matter what, he’s been the player left standing and I expect he’ll be so tonight.

Tennis Free Picks: Nadal in straight sets

Cover the NFL Betting Line As Saints Host Vikings in Week 1 NFL Mega-Gridiron Battle

September 9, 2010

The wait is officially over NFL Betting Buffs!

If you’re looking to cash in with a potentially winning wager against the NFL Football Betting Line, then you’re in for a ride!

The 2010 NFL regular season gets started off with an absolutely captivating matchup when the defending Super Bowl champion, New Orleans Saints host the Minnesota Vikings at the Louisiana Superdome on Thursday night at 8:30 PM ET.

Live from the Louisiana Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana at 8:30 PM ET
TV: NBC
Radio: Sirius 125 and 126 XM

NFL Betting Odds

Minnesota Vikings +5 -110
New Orleans Saints -5 -110

Over 48½ -110
Under 48½ -110

Moneyline
Vikings +200
Saints -240

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Last season’s NFC Conference Championship participants will kick off the 2010 NFL regular season looking to get off on the right foot.

This breakdown on Thursday night’s matchup will point avid NFL betting enthusiasts in the right direction toward making a winning wager against tonight’s value-packed NFL Betting Line.

Click Here to view Live NFL Betting Lines!

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Here is a look at the game’s key head-to-head trends.

  • Vikings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

New Orleans Saints

  • Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
  • Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Saints last 7 games in September.
  • Under is 8-3 in Saints last 11 games in Week 1.

The Saints went 2-2 in the preseason, sandwiching their two losses around consecutive wins in the preseason’s second and third weeks.

Drew Brees didn’t play much in the preseason, but when he did, he completed 32 of 50 passes (64 percent) with two touchdowns and no interceptions after throwing for 4,388 yards with 34 TD and 11 interceptions last season.

The Saints bring back almost the same team that beat the Colts 31-17 in Super Bowl XLIV and led the league in scoring by averaging a whopping 31.9 points per game.

New Orleans scored over 35 points in each of its preseason wins and held the opposition to just 23.5 points per game defensively in the preseason while allowing an identical 27 points in each loss.

New Orleans added veteran defensive linemen Alex Brown and Jimmy Wilkerson to shore up its defense and drafted talented rookie cornerback Patrick Robinson out of Florida State, but will be without pro bowl safety Darren Sharper who had microfracture knee surgery this offseason and will miss at least the first six games.

Minnesota Vikings

  • Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 1.
  • Vikings are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC.
  • Vikings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • Under is 7-3 in Vikings last 10 games overall.

The Vikings went 3-1 in the preseason and saw Brett Favre complete 17 of 30 passes (63 percent) in two preseason appearances while throwing two picks and no TD passes.
Favre tossed a game-deciding interception against the Saints in Minnesota’s 31-28 overtime loss in the NFC title tilt.

The 40-year-old gunslinger however is coming off one of the best seasons of his career. In 2009, Favre threw for 4,202 yards with 33 TD passes and just seven picks while leading the Vikes to the NFC North division title.

Minnesota will be without No. 1 wideout Sidney Rice (hip), but added veteran wideout Greg Camarillo late in the preseason.

Minnesota has a 18-7 all-time in the regular season against New Orleans and had won four straight games until losing to Brees and company in their NFC title game showdown.

Analysis: I’ll get right to the point with this pick BetOnline NFL betting gamblers as I thin k this pick may not be as tough as some handicappers make it out to be.

First and foremost, the Saints are playing at home and will have a ton of momentum and crowd support to fuel their fire in this regular season opener.

New Orleans is relatively healthy on both sides of the ball while the Vikings are really banged up entering the regular season.

Brett Favre is probably at about 85-90 percent of where he’d like to be and the loss of deep threat Sidney Rice could really hurt the Vikings’ ability to stretch defenses.

NFL gamblers can expect the Vikings to get back to featuring running back Adrian Peterson a bit more in this contest – and during the regular season, (at least until they get Rice back), thereby limiting and changing their explosive offense from last season.

Brett Favre will look to Camarillo and tight end Visanthe Shiancoe in the slot more this season when he can’t hook up with Bernard Berrian deep. Shiancoe led the team in TD receptions with 11 in 2009 and Camarillo grabbed 50 balls for the Miami Dolphins.

Pro football betting buffs can almost certainly expect New Orleans to remain as explosive as ever offensively – while also putting an improved defensive product on the field this season thanks to their smart offseason additions.

I like the Saints to cover the NFL Betting Line by the slimmest of margins despite the fact that the Vikings are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings while the road team in this rivalry has posted a consistent 4-1 ATS mark in their last five meetings.

New Orleans has gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games in the month of September while also going 4-1 ATS in their last five Week 1 contests.

In addition to playing the Saints to buck the key trends and cover the NFL Betting Line which mostly point to a Vikings ATS cover, I think the Over is the best play of all for tonight’s matchup.

The Over has gone 4-0 in the last four meetings between these rivals when they meet in New Orleans and 5-0 in the last five meetings overall.

Cementing my pick for an Over outcome is the fact that the Over has gone 5-1-1 in the Saints’ last seven games in the month of September.

My Pick: Over 48½ Total Points/Saints -5 Points

Sources: nfl.com, covers.com, wagertracker.com, the sportsnetwork.com

US Open 2010 Betting Props – Wawrinka vs. Youzhny

September 9, 2010

Flushing Meadows, New York – Over and above the full kettle of outright markets and set betting markets available at BetOnline, bookies have added a whole slew of prop bets for this match. Everything from prediction the correct match score line to correct set scores. Here is the rundown of some of these markets.

Correct Match Score Line:

Stanislas Wawrinka to win 3 – 0      +500 
Stanislas Wawrinka to win 3 – 1      +450  
Stanislas Wawrinka to win 3 – 2      +500  

Mikhail Youzhny to win 3 – 0      +275  
Mikhail Youzhny to win 3 – 1      +300  
Mikhail Youzhny to win 3 – 2   +450

Tennis Betting Verdict: What’s obvious right from the start is that neither player is a hot favourite in this market, both trading on the large side of Evens. Youzhny is priced slightly shorter though than Wawrinka is. Youzhny is best priced to win in straight sets at +275 while Wawrinka is listed at a large +500 to win so convincingly. If you glance at all the other markets, you’ll notice that this match is tightly set and therefore it seems unlikely either player will advance without dropping a set. By all accounts, a tight four or five set affair is expected (more so the latter than the former; therefore, a bet on either player in these markets seems to be the better play. The 3-2 option.

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Set Scores Wawrinka: Set scores fluctuate rather significantly in this market, where Stan is concerned. He’s priced at a whopping +5000 to win the first set by a 6-0 score and as low as +500 to win the set by either a 6-3, 6-4, or 7-6 score.

Set Scores Youzhny: Youzhny as the favourite to win outright is tipped slightly shorter in this market than Stan is. A convincing 6-0 score is listed at a high of +4000 while a 6-3 or 6-4score is tipped at +400. A tiebreak is listed at +500 to Youzhny.

Tie Break In Match 
Yes      -200  
No      +150 

Tennis Betting Verdict: The “Yes” bet is the favoured bet and given the tight trend in this matchup, it seems to be the correct play.

Stanislas Wawrinka To Win at Least 1 Set 
Yes      -700  
No      +400  

Mikhail Youzhny To Win at Least 1 Set
Yes      -1200  
No      +600

Tennis Betting Verdict: The “Yes” bet is priced as an almost certainty and you’d think with the tight nature of all the markets and the way these two players stack up, they each would win at least a set.

NFL Game Odds – Saints and Vikings Clash

September 9, 2010

Finally, the NFL odds season is here and will start off with a bang as the New Orleans Saints host the Minnesota Vikings in a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship game.

Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints

Live from the Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana

Kickoff: 8:30 pm EST Thursday September 9, 2010

TV: NBC

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NFL Game Odds:

Minnesota Vikings +5

New Orleans Saints -5

Total 48

In pursuit of a Super Bowl title last season, the Saints went undefeated in their first six home games before dropping their final two fixtures at the Superdome.

This year, New Orleans Saints expects nothing less than a repeat performance of their Super Bowl victory in 2009 and the dedicated fans of ‘Mardi Gras City’ will do everything they can to help the Saints start the 2010 season off right.

As most NFL bettors recall, New Orleans defeated Minnesota 31-28 in overtime in last year’s NFC title game to propel the Saints into Super Bowl XLIV.

Ultimately, it was Minnesota QB Brett Favre’s ‘high risk, high reward’ mentality that allowed the game to proceed into overtime.

At 40 years old, Favre’s mindset has clearly not changed, and never will. For this reason, I see Favre throwing a couple of picks against a New Orleans defense that ranked 3 rd in the league in interceptions last season.

Furthermore, without leading receiver Sidney Rice to occupy defensive coverage, Minnesota wide receiver Percy Harvin will have to deal with one of the best pass defenses in the NFL (7 th in the NFL) by his lonesome.

Without an aerial attack, New Orleans will focus on stopping the Vikings’ biggest offensive threat, Adrian Peterson. By putting more pressure on Minnesota Vikings to rush the ball, the Saints run defense (6 th in the NFL) will stack the box, plugging the holes for Peterson.

New Orleans’ offense, meanwhile, puts points on the board like it’s going out of style (regardless of their opponents).

Averaging almost 32 points per game last season (1 st in the NFL), the Saints are arguably the best offense in the league.

With Marques Colston, Devery Henderson, Robert Meachem and a healthy Jeremy Shockey as targets, Drew Brees should have no trouble reaching his passing touchdown total from a season ago (34), which led the NFL.

Additionally, the Saints have two quality running backs to shoulder the load and keep the Vikings defense guessing. The receiving ability of Reggie Bush and Pierre Thomas make them a rare backfield duo in the 2010 NFL game odds season.

Marshall Mention: Drew Brees completed 73.2% of his passing attempts and 20 touchdowns last season during his 8 games at the Superdome.

NFL Game Odds Prediction: Bet on New Orleans (-5)

For more NFL game odds click here!

Pronósticos NFL: Colts vs Texans Semana 1

September 9, 2010

Aunque no lo creen fanáticos de las apuestas deportivas, los Houston Texans se juegan su temporada en la primera semana de la NFL cuando reciban a los Indianápolis Colts, este domingo a la 1 PM hora del Este, en el Reliant Stadium.

Líneas de Apuestas NFL:

  • Indianapolis Colts -2
  • Houston Texans +2
  • O/U 47

¿Cómo es posible que faltando 16 semanas por jugarse los Texans están jugándose la temporada tan temprano? Pues, es muy simple, en el 2009 Houston tuvo una marca de 9-7 pero perdió 5 de los seis encuentros ante sus rivales de la AFC Sur y ambos juegos ante los Colts, situación que los dejó fuera de los playoffs, por eso es tan importante este partido.

Si los Texans logran sacarle un partido a los Colts que por “default” son sus rivales principales para el título de la división, pues, de inmediato habrá un cambio de cultura en Houston.
Matt Schaub fue el mariscal de campo que lanzó más yardas en todo el 2009 y estoy seguro de que esto se repetirá en el 2010, pues sus armas son las mismas y la protección que le brinda su línea ofensiva es suficiente para que tenga tiempo de encontrar a sus receptores desmarcados.

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Por el otro lado los Colts llegan a esta temporada como los siempre favoritos pero con un poco de mal humor luego de perder el Súper Bowl 44 contra los Saints en Febrero pasado.  Peyton Manning es discutiblemente el mejor mariscal de campo de la liga pero deberá demostrar en el 2010 que su marca de .500 en playoffs es pura coincidencia y que no tiene nada que ver sus actuaciones en juegos grandes.

Manning tendrá de vuelta al ex Buckeye ala abierta Anthony Gonzalez  luego de perderse toda la temporada el año anterior pero también Pierre Garcon y Austin Collie estarán mucho más maduros en su segundo año bajo las ordenes del número 18.

Indy está 4-0 contra Houston en las últimas tres temporadas pero los Texans ha cubierto el spread en 3 de esos cuatro juegos.

Alonzo Dice: Toma a los Texans.

US Open Set Betting – Wawrinka vs. Youzhny in the Quarterfinals

September 9, 2010

Flushing Meadows, New York – Wawrinka and Youzhny are set to decide a spot in the 2010 US Open semis today and the action currently available at BetOnline Sportsbook gives Youzhny the slightest edge over Wawrinka in the outright win market.

The market cast notwithstanding, this fixture looks to be rather even with both players having a chance at advancement. When a match is so tightly cast and by that, I mean the winner is uncertain, set betting markets offer additional angles for profit.

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First Set Line:

Stanislas Wawrinka +100 9½ O -165 U +125

Mikhail Youzhny -140 9½ O -165 U +125

Second Set Line:

Stanislas Wawrinka +100 9½ O -160 U +120

Mikhail Youzhny -140 9½ O -160 U +120

Third Set Line:

Stanislas Wawrinka -105 9½ O -160 U +120

Mikhail Youzhny -135 9½ O -160 U +120

Match Set Line:

Stanislas Wawrinka +1½ -165 3½ O -250 U +185

Mikhail Youzhny -1½ +125 3½ O -250 U +185

Match Time: 2:15 PM EST (11:15 PT) Thursday September 9, 2010

Tennis Betting Analysis: Youzhny and Wawrinka are level 2-2 lifetime with Youzhny owning the two hard court victories and Wawrinka the two clay court victories. The Russians success against Wawrinka on this surface gives him the slightest edge going into this match, and this edge is even further underscored by a win at the Miami Masters this season.

Delving deeper into their head-to-head, the four matches were all rather close, the sets tight. The matches were spread over 9 sets and 93 games. Two sets went to the tiebreak; two sets boast a tight 7-5 score; two sets were a close 6-4; and two were blowouts at 6-1.

Simple maths tells us that: 93/9= 10.333. Of course, handicapping sets is not that simple but it gives a yardstick of sorts.

The totals are set at 9 ½ for each set and given their tendency to play close sets it is more likely than not that there will be a few tight ones in this clash. The Over 9 ½ at -160 is therefore a good option and you’ll notice it is the favoured result by bookies.

Youzhny is the favoured to take the early lead, tipped at -140 to take the first and second set. In their four encounters however, Stanislas Wawrinka won the first set three times, including their last clash in Miami that he lost in three sets. Could mean that Wawrinka is a good bet to win the first set tonight, listed at an attractive +100.

Tennis Betting Verdict: If this match falls in line with expectation and spreads over five sets the options are endless and tennis bettors can find many attractive options. Whichever way you slice this match you’ll find value.

Chris Strait Breaks Down Klitschko-Peter Fight, September 11th

September 9, 2010

Wladimir Klitschko (54-3) hasn’t lost since 2004, and while many think that Samuel Peter is the man that will hand the Ukrainian champ his fourth career loss, Chris Strait thinks much differently. Anybody silly enough to think that Klitschko is in a position to lose a fight where he’s a -1400 favorite deserves to lose their money for reasons that Strait outlines in the boxing betting preview below:

The reason that Peter is being touted by some is because of the fight he had against Klitschko in 2005. Peter was able to get three knockdowns on Klitschko during the middle rounds, but was unable to definitively finish him off. This is perhaps one of Klitschko’s defining boxing moments, since he was barely five months removed from his last loss.

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Klitschko valiantly rallied back from being put to the mat three times in that fight and outmuscled Peter’s en route to a unanimous decision after 12 rounds. It was Peter’s first loss in a career supposedly destined for greatness. Now he has at a shot at redemption.

Some may look at this fight casually and notice that Peter is just 30-years old and evolving as a puncher. But as Strait points out, he is basically still exactly who he was. Just because Klitschko is 34-years old, it doesn’t mean he’s slowing down. No fight he’s had since Peter has gone the distance and he is now the IBF, WBO and IBO heavyweight boxing champion.

As you can tell by the boxing betting odds, nobody in their right mind thinks that Klitschko is going to lose this fight. While Samuel Peter holds some value at +700, that’s only if you think he can win. He earned three knockdowns off of what Chris Strait refers to as, “a rabbit punch, one by a pushdown and one by fatigue”.

That means that Klitschko will enter this fight with the opportunity to finally silence the critics, and Peter for good. The only thing that deserves to be bet on in this fight is whether or not this fight goes the distance. That would be moral victory for Peter, but I think the champ has something else in mind.

This should teach all you boxing betting freaks a lesson: don’t trash talk a 6-foot-6, heavyweight boxing champion!

Bet on all your Boxing Fight Lines here!

Turfway Park Opens Thursday For 16-Day Fall Meeting

September 9, 2010

Racing in Kentucky shifts from Ellis Park to Turfway Park, with the Florence track opening for a 16-day meeting on Thursday evening, with a first post of 5:30 ET.

Racing on Thursday and Friday will get underway at 5:30, with a Saturday and Sunday post time of 1:10 ET.

The signature event of the fall Turfway Park meeting was the Kentucky Cup, which has been suspended this year due to purse reductions.

The marquee event of the meet instead will be the $100,000 Turfway Park Fall Championship on Sept. 11.

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The race is a Breeders’ Cup Challenge “Win and You’re In” race, with the winner earning an automatic starting berth in the $500,000 Breeders’ Cup Marathon at the Breeders’ Cup World Championships at Churchill Downs Nov. 5-6.

The festivities at Turfway Park kick off Thursday evening with an outstanding nine race card, and we will focus on the last four races, which make up the late Pick 4:

Race 6 Maiden Special Weight
Granny Ramsey
may get the Pick 4 off to a chalky start, as the likely favorite appears to be on the one to beat in this spot. The $230K purchase was outrun early and made a mild late rally to finish fourth in her debut. That effort came at 5 ½ furlongs on the turf at Ellis Park and this gal should appreciate the extra ground here. She is by Empire Maker out of the stakes winner Changing World ($394K). The Mike Maker barn is 29% winners (with a +ROI) with second out maidens.

#4 Hip Hip was a game second in her last outing at Arlington Park over the polytrack surface. She was beaten just ¾ of a length for the top spot and looks like a good fit here. She is a half to four winners including stakes winner Congrats ($998K).

Selections: #5 Granny Ramsey – #4 Hip Hip – #1 Stormonthehorizon

Race 7 Claiming $12,500
Scilly makes her first start off a 2 ½ month break, her last start a win at Lincoln Fair against optional claimers that were non winners of four lifetime. The filly is 0 for 2 on the fake stuff, but she is making just her second start for the high percentage Woodard barn and this gal looks like a good fit here tagged for $12,500.

Satan’s Plume returns off a 3 ½ month break for the Drury barn that is 28% winners (with a +ROI) with horses coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. The mare won here last December versus $15K non winners of three and then faced tougher in her last two outings. Blinkers go on today, but note there are no published works on the morning tab.

Selections: #6 Scilly – #3 Satan’s Plume – #5 Thunder and Belle – #9 Tosca’s Kiss

Race 8 Optional Claiming $20,000
Maestro Miss
tracked the early pace, made a good middle move and did not have enough punch left late, settling for a third place finish against Alw-1 foes at Delaware Park. The filly makes her third start of her current form cycle and he has run well on the fake stuff, landing in the exacta in all four trips, her last go over poly her maiden score at Keeneland back in April for a $50K tag.

Pish Posh came back off a two month break to post back to back wins sprinting over dirt at Ellis Park and River Downs. This mare can handle poly, winning four times including a pair of victories here at Turfway Park. She comes in here sharp for a high percentage outfit.

Selections: #4 Maestro Miss – #8 Pish Posh – #7 Lavenham

Race 9 Maiden Claiming $5,000
Wright Tribute
is worth a look here in the nightcap at nice odds, 15/1 on the morning line. The gelding has some early speed, last out pressing the early pace from the outside and weakening to finish fifth. His lone start over a synthetic surface was not pretty, a well beaten sixth over the Tapeta surface at Presque Isle, but let’s give him a look over poly here, as we should catch a generous price.

Two to Dance makes his debut for the Heimbrecht barn that is 17% winners (with a +ROI) with first time starters. The colt is out of a Assert mare that has dropped four foals to race, three winners, top earner stakes winner Blinded by Love (7 for 14, $287K). This is not a very tough spot for his first start.

Selections: #11 Wright Tribute – #10 Two to Dance – #12 Knockout King – #6 Rajablou

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